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週前半は0.994付近から値を崩し、週末にかけて0.978付近まで沈んだところでBuyシグナルが点灯。Ini(0.97807)で入った直後の水準で踏みとどまり、ほぼフラットで越週となった。
先週から持ち越したIni(0.70445)の下も底が見えず、6月23日に0.70040のラインを割り込んだところでG1(0.69749)が入った。そこからさらに0.689台まで沈んだが、週末にかけてようやく下げ止まり越週となった。
Carry-over Ini (0.70445) found no floor either, with a break below the 0.70040 line on June 23rd bringing in G1 at 0.69749. The bottom kept dropping out into the 0.689 area before the slide finally caught a breath heading into the weekend.
週半ばまで183円台に沈んでいたが、6月26日に184.797まで戻したところでSellシグナルが点灯。ところが売った直後に再び足を取られ184.155付近まで値を崩して越週、次のG1ライン(185.797)はまだ1円以上離れている。
Price had been pinned in the 183s through midweek, then bounced back to 184.797 on June 26th, triggering a sell. The relief didn't last — price slipped right back almost as soon as the sell went in, settling near 184.155 into the weekend. The next G1 line at 185.797 remains more than a yen away.
先週から持ち越したIni(1.15398)・G1(1.14401)の下で値を崩し、6月23日には1.14の壁を突き破って2025年6月以来の安値圏へ。同日中にG2(1.13407)を底値圏で仕込んだ。週後半、市場予想を下回るPCE指標を受けてドルが失速し、6月26日に3レベルがまとめて1.1427付近でクローズ。底で仕込んだG2の+$25.74がIni・G1の損失を吸収し、合計+$11.65で決着した。
Carry-over Ini (1.15398) and G1 (1.14401) gave way, breaking through 1.14 on June 23rd to the lowest level since June 2025, with G2 added near the bottom the same day at 1.13407. The dollar then ran out of steam late in the week on a softer-than-expected PCE reading, and all three levels closed together near 1.1427 on June 26th — G2, bought right near the low, returned +$25.74, enough to absorb the losses on Ini and G1 for a net +$11.65.
1.882付近を起点に値を伸ばし、6月26日に1.91638の高値圏でSellシグナルが点灯しIniエントリー。上昇の勢いはそこで尽き、その日のうちに1.91257まで戻して+$2.63、エントリーから1日足らずでの決着となった。
Price moved up from around 1.882, and a sell signal triggered at the highs near 1.91638 on June 26th. The rally ran out of steam right there, and price pulled back to 1.91257 the same day for +$2.63 — resolved in less than a day.
先週から持ち越したIni(1.33379)の下、G1ラインの1.318台で2度の細かい往復があった。最初のG1(1.31882)はBreak Evenが発動したが、週明け6月22日の寄り付きでギャップが生じS/Lを割り込む1.31833で約定し-$0.98。直後に同水準の1.31881で再エントリーし、こちらは6月23日に1.31977でBreak Evenが発動し+$1.92。その後さらに反落し6月25日に1.31801で3度目のG1エントリー、Break Even(S/L 1.31901)が設定され1.3195付近で越週となった。
Below carry-over Ini (1.33379), the G1 line near 1.318 saw two quick round trips this week. The first G1 (1.31882) triggered Break Even, but a gap at Monday's open on June 22nd filled below the stop, executing at 1.31833 for -$0.98. An almost immediate re-entry at the same 1.31881 level then resolved cleanly via Break Even on June 23rd at 1.31977 for +$1.92. A further pullback brought a third G1 entry at 1.31801 on June 25th, now carrying a Break Even stop (S/L 1.31901), with price holding near 1.3195 into the weekend.
今週はポジションなし。0.8157付近から下げ足が止まらず0.7999付近まで値を落としたが、シグナルは入らなかった。
No position this week. Price kept sliding from around 0.8157 down to near 0.7999, with the decline showing no signs of slowing — no entry signal triggered.
9ペアの中で唯一、損失が膨らみ続けているのがNZDUSDだ。6月3日のIni(0.59008)、6月16日のG1(0.58009)と段階的に下げを追いかけてきたが、今週も反発の糸口はつかめず、6月23日に0.57140を割り込んでG2(0.57012)を追加した。そこから値を戻す場面もなく0.564台まで沈み、3レベル合計の評価損は-$78.72まで膨らんで越週となった。
Of the nine pairs, NZDUSD is the only one where the damage keeps piling up. Ini went in on June 3rd (0.59008), G1 followed on June 16th (0.58009), and this week brought no relief either — a break below 0.57140 on June 23rd triggered G2 at 0.57012. There was no bounce after that, just a further slide to the 0.564 area, leaving the combined floating loss across all three levels at -$78.72 heading into next week.
今週はポジションなし。161.3付近からじわじわと値を伸ばし、週半ばには161.9に迫る場面もあった。週後半は弱めのPCE指標を受けたドル全面安にもJPYへの戻りは限定的で、161.7付近を維持したまま越週となった。
No position this week. Price ground higher from around 161.3, briefly approaching 161.9 by midweek. Even as broad dollar weakness set in late in the week on the softer PCE print, the yen's pushback was limited — price held near 161.7 into the weekend.
週前半はAUD・NZD・EURの全面安が続いた。AUDUSDは0.700割れからG1追加、NZDUSDも下落が止まらず6月23日にG2を追加。EURUSDも6月23日に1.14を割り込み2025年6月以来の安値圏まで落ち込み、G2を追加する展開となった。GBPUSDのG1ラインでも1.318台で2度の細かい往復があり、グリッドが小刻みに反応する週となった。
潮目が変わったのは週後半。市場予想を下回る米PCE指標を受けてドルが2日続落、EURUSDは6月26日にIni・G1・G2の3レベルがまとめてクローズし、G2の+$25.74が全体を牽引した。同日にはGBPAUDの高値圏Sellも素早く決着。だがその流れに乗れなかったのがNZDUSDで、6月3日のIniから3段階目のG2まで積み上がった今、評価損は-$78.72まで拡大。9ペアの中で唯一、反発の兆しが見られないまま週を終えた。
The first half of the week saw broad weakness across AUD, NZD, and EUR. AUDUSD broke below 0.700 and added a G1, NZDUSD's slide continued with a G2 add on June 23rd, and EURUSD broke below 1.14 the same day — its lowest since June 2025 — triggering a G2 there as well. GBPUSD's G1 line near 1.318 saw two quick round trips of its own, a week of small, frequent grid reactions.
The tide turned in the back half. A softer-than-expected US PCE reading sent the dollar lower for a second straight session, and EURUSD's Ini, G1, and G2 all closed together on June 26th, with G2's +$25.74 carrying the week. GBPAUD's sell at the highs resolved quickly the same day. NZDUSD missed that move entirely — now three levels deep since Ini went in on June 3rd, its floating loss grew to -$78.72, the only pair on the board still showing no sign of recovery.
最大の注目はやはりNZDUSD。Ini(0.59008)・G1(0.58009)・G2(0.57012)の3本を抱えたまま0.564付近で越週し、評価損合計-$78.72はボード上で最も深い。ドル全面安の流れに乗れるかどうかが来週のカギになる。AUDUSDもIni(0.70445)・G1(0.69749)で0.689付近、合計-$31.86とこちらも反発待ちの状態が続く。GBPUSDはIni(1.33379)・G1(1.31801)で1.3195付近、G1はBreak Even設定済みのため値動き次第で早期の決着もあり得る。EURJPYの新規Sell(184.797)は次のG1ライン(185.797)までまだ距離がある。
NZDUSD remains the one to watch above all. Three levels deep — Ini (0.59008), G1 (0.58009), G2 (0.57012) — it ends the week near 0.564 with the deepest floating loss on the board at -$78.72. Whether it can catch any of the broader dollar weakness is the key question for next week. AUDUSD is in a similar holding pattern with Ini (0.70445) and G1 (0.69749) near 0.689, down -$31.86 combined. GBPUSD sits near 1.3195 with Ini (1.33379) and G1 (1.31801), the latter on a Break Even stop that could bring an early resolution depending on how price moves. EURJPY's fresh sell (184.797) still has room before the next G1 line at 185.797.
Price gave way from around 0.994 through the first half of the week, and a buy signal finally triggered near the weekend low around 0.978 — Ini went in at 0.97807. It's holding right where it entered into the weekend.